{"id":1217,"date":"2018-03-12T02:28:56","date_gmt":"2018-03-12T02:28:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/?p=1217"},"modified":"2018-03-12T02:28:56","modified_gmt":"2018-03-12T02:28:56","slug":"one-place-the-committee-got-it-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/?p=1217","title":{"rendered":"One place the committee got it wrong"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I do need to complain about Arizona State making the tournament.\u00a0 I simply can not understand how you can pick a team tied for 8th in the conference with an 8-10 record (who also lost in the first round of the conference tournament to the other 8-10 team) &#8211; but you don&#8217;t take a team that finished 2nd in the conference who then also made it to the conference tournament final.\u00a0 I am fine with you saying that USC doesn&#8217;t have enough of a resume, because their best victories by RPI are Middle Tennessee State and New Mexico State.<\/p>\n<p>Sure, Arizona State has two of the best victories in college basketball &#8211; they were able to beat Xavier and Kansas.\u00a0 I can also see someone saying Arizona State beat USC in the only game they played.\u00a0 But they won by 2 points at home.\u00a0 Home court advantage normally represents 4 points &#8211; so that outcome predicts that USC wins on at their home court or on a neutral court.<\/p>\n<p>If it is only about who you beat, why isn&#8217;t St. John&#8217;s in the tournament.\u00a0 They beat Villanova and Duke &#8211; so why does it matter they lost 17 games.\u00a0 Is that too much.\u00a0 \u00a0Well then how about Oklahoma State.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Arizona State had 5 victories against teams in the bracket (Xavier, Kansas, UCLA, Kansas State, and San Diego St.).\u00a0 \u00a0Oklahoma State has 8 (two against Kansas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, two against Oklahoma, Texas and Florida State).<\/li>\n<li>Arizona State finished 20-11 &#8211; 9 of those losses are to teams that didn&#8217;t make the tournament.\u00a0 Oklahoma State finished 19-14, but only 2 of those losses are to teams that didn&#8217;t make the tournament.<\/li>\n<li>When in the conference tournament with one last chance to show they belong, Oklahoma State beat a tournament team in Oklahoma.\u00a0 Arizona State lost by double digits to Colorado &#8211; a team not even on the tourney radar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I get that it is impressive you beat Xavier and Kansas.\u00a0 But it can&#8217;t simply be about beating 2 top teams.\u00a0 You have to beat the teams you are supposed to beat.\u00a0 Here is how Arizona State and USC did against their similar opponents.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Quadrant 1 &#8211; USC (2-4), Arizona St (1-4)<\/li>\n<li>Quadrant 2 &#8211; USC (4-3), Arizona St (2-6)<\/li>\n<li>Quadrant 3 and 4 &#8211; USC (7-0), Arizona St (5-1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>USC had a better record at every level than Arizona State against their like opponents.\u00a0 But USC finished over 30 spots in the RPI better than the Sun Devils.\u00a0 They also had a better KenPom rating, a better BPI rating, and a better Sagarin rating.\u00a0 That is probably because USC did better against like competition.\u00a0 It is fine if you want to say USC isn&#8217;t good enough &#8211; but you simply can not say that Arizona State is if USC is not.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I do need to complain about Arizona State making the tournament.\u00a0 I simply can not understand how you can pick a team tied for 8th in the conference with an 8-10 record (who also lost in the first round of the conference tournament to the other 8-10 team) &#8211; but you don&#8217;t take a team [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2018-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1217","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1217"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1217\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1218,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1217\/revisions\/1218"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1217"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1217"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1217"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}