That’s right – the Lunatic takes many beatings in March.\u00a0 He spends lots of time creating a bracketology page that doesn’t matter.\u00a0 Then, he gets stomped with his bracket picks.\u00a0 So, why not add more of a time-consuming process of handicapping all 67 games – normally ending with lots of incorrect picks.\u00a0 Because if you think it is hard to pick the games straight-up, it is much harder to pick once you have to include the Vegas line-makers spread.<\/p>\n
So, that gives more reason to do this silly exercise.\u00a0 I have to be better than most compulsive gamblers (EDITOR’S NOTE – the response to that statement is obviously no).<\/p>\n
I could build models that can perform better than the ones that make Las Vegas millions of dollars (EDITOR’S NOTE – that is laughable.\u00a0 First of all, while I believe I am talented statistician, it is not realistic to believe that I can build a better model with less data and much less time.\u00a0 Second, if the Vegas statisticians were not talented, the Sportsbooks would go under – they are really good at what they do to make millions of dollars for the casinos.\u00a0 But more importantly – the Lunatic would rather spend his time ranting – he is not going to successfully build a model in two days that can beat Vegas so he will rely on his deep insight and gut – that is a recipe for disaster).<\/p>\n
As I make my picks, I can give excellent one-liner statements that can give all of you some insight into the games (EDITORS NOTE – some insight is a loose term.\u00a0 But it should at least be entertaining – and that in itself has to make it worth it).<\/p>\n
I will add the typical Lunatic disclosure – this is for recreational purposes only.\u00a0 And if you want any proof of why this should be recreational purposes – over my life-time, I have visited Las Vegas multiple times.\u00a0 \u00a0And I have never left a Vegas sportsbook with more money than I started with.<\/p>\n
Enjoy the handicapping page – link is in the Handicapping section.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
That’s right – the Lunatic takes many beatings in March.\u00a0 He spends lots of time creating a bracketology page that doesn’t matter.\u00a0 Then, he gets stomped with his bracket picks.\u00a0 So, why not add more of a time-consuming process of handicapping all 67 games – normally ending with lots of incorrect picks.\u00a0 Because if you […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog2019"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1496"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1499,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1496\/revisions\/1499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tehodgson.com\/stompthelunatic\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}