As I mentioned before, my bracketology and handicapping pages were messed up when my WordPress sites crashed. And with all my focus last week on creating a bracket, I neglected figuring out how I would set up my handicapping page. And since my personal bracket got two teams wrong, it didn’t even do well for all that research.
Loyal readers – don’t fret. The Lunatic is here to handicap the games poorly – although I tend to be pretty accurate on the over/unders – maybe this will be the year where things switch and I get the games right and the totals wrong. Who knows?
But here is the problem – no one is going to believe a handicapping page when the picks come out after the games start. And I am still trying to figure out how to set up that page. So, under the chances that I can’t figure it out, the picks need to still happen – and so we can do that in the main blog for a little bit.
Normal disclaimers apply. This is just for fun. If you are thinking of using these for your own gambling, you probably should not. I have never walked out of a Vegas Sportsbook with more money than I came in with – so the only possible way these picks are successful is if money is not riding on it.
6:40 pm – 16 seed Howard (-3.5) vs 16 seed Wagner. O/U: 128.5
Neither team did particularly well as their top victories are in the 150+ of NET. But Howard had some competitive games against Cincinnati and Georgia Tech – so I think they are the slightly better team. That being said, Wagner plays at a very slow pace and add the pressure of the tournament could lead to a low scoring game.
Picks: Howard (30). Under (20)
9:10 pm – 10 seed Colorado State (-2.5) vs 10 seed Virginia O/U: 120.5
Virginia is one of those teams that I don’t think the metrics look favorably at. They had a few games where they lost big that effect their efficiency rankings. But they were the 3rd place team in the ACC. Its crazy to me that we could take the 3rd place team from the ACC and get 2.5 points against a Mountain West team that tied for 6th. The only thing that stops me from locking this is the Cavaliers amazing ability to go ice cold.
Picks: Virginia (20). Under (20)
Let the games begin!